The Downing Street Memo

I know most Democratic bloggers are heartbroken over the failure of the Downing Street Memo to bring down the Bush administration. I cannot understand this sentiment. The fact that Bush decided to go to war first, and decided to look at the intelligence second is obvious. He can't admit it, but everyone knows its true. There are documents going back to 1991 from members of his administration calling for regime change. Rumsfield and Wolfowitz were members of a group that took out ads in the New York Times in the 90's calling for war. That fact that Bush fixed intelligence is not and has never been a secret. The Downing Street memo is just proof of what everyone already knew, it changes nothing.

If the Senate or the House were in Democratic hands, maybe the memo would have made a difference. It could have served as the hard proof justifing a congressional investigation. But Washington is completly dominated by the GOP, and that being the case it should be no surprise that no one wants to talk about things they already know and could hurt them in elections.

2008 Watch: Christian Right To Hold GOP Accountable

A recent article in USA Today highlights a claim by various Christian Right groups that any GOP candidate seeking the presidential nomination will have to go through them. Although it might seem counterintuitive, Democrats should welcome the Christian Right's growing influence in the GOP. As the recent fights over judicial nominations has shown, mainstream Americans are growing tired of the Christian Right's agenda. Although much is made of the ascent of the "values voter", White Protestant evangelicals are a minority in America, and their percentage of the population is shrinking as immigration diversifies the religious makeup of the country.

Bush has only used evangelicals successfully because he has kept them on a short leash, promising them the moon, and giving them pretty much nothing. (Where's the anti-gay marriage amendment, for example?) The hard Right desperately wants to break free of these restraints. Should they succeed in forcing their reactionary agenda upon the Republican party, the moderates that make up the bulk of the electorate will flock to the Democrats. 2008 could be 1964 all over again.

New Labor

Five of the largest labor unions in the AFL-CIO, representing 40% of its members today formed a new federation aimed at pressuring the entire AFL-CIO to adpot reforms geared towards increasing membership. Should the AFL-CIO reject these reforms, this new federation may bolt, splitting the labor movement.

The five unions, Service Employees International Union(SEIU), the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, the United Food and Commercial Workers and the Laborers' International Union of North America, are opposed to AFL-CIO president John Sweeny's strategy of focusing money on political organization, rather then steming the long decline of union membership in America. Of all the unions in the AFL-CIO, only the SEIU, under its firey president Andy Stern, is adding members.

Because unions are such a vital pillar of Democratic support, forming about a quarter ofthe electorate and voting Democratic by two-thirds, any shakeup in the union world is of vital importance to the Democratic party. The unity of the labor movement is not the most important issue here, however. If labor cannot reverse its massive declines soon, it will be a spent force. Andy Stern has shown he knows how to orgainze, and putting him at the head of a new federation should add some competition and vitality to the labor movement that should be encouraged.

The largest reason why unions haven't been adding members, however, is the anti-union laws that have been in place since the Regan administration. Should the Democrats ever get into power again, they may feel obliged to the unions to pass legislation to encourage membership gains. Until then, its time to see what Andy Stern can do shake things up.

2008 Watch: Richardson Speaks in New Hampshire

New Mexico Governor Bill Richarson spent the weekend in New Hampshire speaking to various political and community groups. Richardson seemed to be signaling his intention to run in 2008, and jokingly told a mostly Hispanic audience in English that he wouldn't, and in Spanish that he would. The governor also distanced himself from criticism of DNC chair Howard Dean, telling a radio audience that Dean's comments were unwise, but that "he is a good chairman".

US Historical Balance of Power

Balance of Power 2005

Senate 2006: Harris To Run In Florida

Katherine Harris announced this week that she plans on seeking the US Senate seat currently held by Democrat Bill Nelson. Such a polarizing figure should get both bases excited for the election, but I have a feeling such a contraversial candidate will give Democrats the advantage among moderates and independants.